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Glossary S
Glossary S
The financial world is full of jargon -
i.e. strange words no-one understands. Here we
try to explain some of the many technical terms.
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Sales, Sales
Forecasts
Common types of announcements which will move the
share price in an obvious manner. Typically,
these will be a little better or worse than
expected; sometimes they will be catastrophically
bad, and it will be a shock - this type of
situation should be pre-released to the market as
a revised earnings forecast or a profits
warning.
Sarbanes-Oxley
New rules brought in in the wake of the largest
corporate scandal in US history, i.e. Enron.
Described in the financial press as 'onerous' and
greeted with much wailing and gnashing of teeth,
they really are little more than a
slap-on-the-wrist; everyone makes a big fuss,
then its business-as-usual. Will cause no
problems at all for the big boys but will perhaps
strangle the small businessman (- if there are
any left in the US).
The gist of all this legislation is that -
you shouldn't
destroy documents. This is obviously a
problem if your behaviour is slightly shady - in
past times you could shred the evidence and claim
legitimate ignorance.
S&L -
Savings and Loans
The US equivalent of the building society,
designed to provide loans to those wishing to buy
a house, up until the 80s were strongly
regulated; it was then decided however, that
deregulation would be a much better idea.
Disaster followed quickly as you might imagine -
larceny, excess, ill-considered ventures, fools
getting out their depth and sharks moving in to
strip the unwary of their assets.
The ingenuity of the criminal mind in separating
the public from their money is truly astounding;
here are just a few of the cons which have arisen
over the years. Some are quite old, but have been
given a new lease of life via the internet and
email. If you see any of these, run a mile; in
the meantime have a chuckle at the gullibility of
people.
The grand-daddy of the con is a man called
Ponzi and his eponymous scheme;
we know these better today as Pyramid
Schemes. Someone gets a small group of
people to join a scheme whereby they give their
money to the person who introduced them to it,
then continue on their own behalf to find a group
of investors who they will then induct into the
scheme, and so on. The person introducing the new
joiners gets a payment, and the new joiners
continue the scheme. A moments reflection, or
some knowledge of elementary mathematics (- the
factorial function), will see that to keep the
scheme going, each generation has to be much
larger than the last; inevitably it collapses as
there just aren't enough people to join (- after
several generations you end up needing more
people than there are on Earth!) The people at
the top of the pyramid walk away with all the
cash, everyone else loses money.
The pyramid scheme is resurrected every so often
for a new generation of mugs - one recent
incarnation was called Women Empowering
Women; interesting in that the
fraudsters had added the new element of
progressive sexual politics to the mix; of course
there is an open-ended angle to this - look out
for pyramid schemes which target black people,
Asians, Christians, gays ... whatever. Note that
fraudsters are true egalitarians in this respect
- black/gay/disabled/Muslim money is as good as
anyone else's - fraud goes 'Equal Opportunity'!
The most successful pyramid scheme in recent
times was the one in which the entire population
of Albania invested; unable to
get their money back, the entire country
descended into anarchy. One hangover from
communism was the free and easy availability of
automatic weapons (- grandmothers with
Kalashnikovs) and even rocket-propelled grenade
launchers. With the entire population of the
country on the streets, armed to the teeth, angry
as hell, and spoiling for a fight, the police and
armed forces remained in their camps, while the
government fled. Which is an interesting spin
on the 'democratic right to protest'.
Pyramid schemes are also known as gifting
schemes, so watch out.
Cold Calling is when you get a
phone call from a very personable and interesting
young man or woman who is telling you that you
have been 'specially selected' to be offered an
amazing investment opportunity, something so good
that you will have to move very quickly to get
into it. This is very likely a Pump and
Dump scam, conducted from a
'boiler-room' (- cheap
accommodation with too many folk crammed in and
with no air conditioning) - it is designed to
appeal to both our greed and our vanity, but is
simply high-pressure selling designed to get you
to buy worthless stock.
Nigerians/419 - you will receive
an email from a Nigerian telling you of how there
are large amounts of money in a foreign bank
account, which at the moment cannot be accessed.
The person needs your help - i.e. money - to
access this cash, and promises you a share in the
larger amount when it becomes available. You will
typically be asked for several thousand pounds to
share in couple of million. The email will
usually begin with something like - 'this is a
genuine offer'. This scam originated from
Nigeria, for some reason, though it may come to
you in other guises.
Business Opportunity letters
through the post offering you a 'franchise' or an
'agentship' or a 'directorship' in some marketing
enterprise, if you send a cheque for £500.
Hot Stock Market Tips - from our
in-depth monthly newsletter - only £299!
Home-working - make
£££s by working from home; its
easy! You get sent a lot of parts which you
have to assemble; you send them back, expecting
to get paid, but you don't; you phone up to
complain, only to be told you didn't do the work
'properly'.
Scratchcards - get three gold
stars, and you have won a prize. To claim your
prize you have to phone a premium rate line for
at least 5 minutes; at the end of this you get a
prize claim code; you then have to write off to
the company with your code, the card, plus stamps
for postage and various other information to get
your prize, which will take at least 28 days. If
you do everything right, and I mean
absolutely everything to the letter (-
and remember that these cards have an incredible
amount of small print on them), you may
eventually get some useless piece of junk (- a
nasty ornament, say) sent to you in the mail; it
will be claimed that the junk has a genuine value
of £50-100 but you find when you try to sell
it, no one will give you anything for it.
The National Lottery - is in my
opinion, no better than a scam; people
do become millionaires, so technically it isn't -
i.e. the prizes do exist and are distributed,
which may not be the case with telephone
scratchcards for example, but really, you have
sod-all chance of winning the lottery. Forget
about it. And never mind Billy Connolly - he's
already loaded; if he won the lottery, he
wouldn't notice!
To those of you who have just discovered the
Internet, be warned that the
newsgroups are full of
'scam-spam'.
A particular UK phenomenon (- wet weather
sufferers dreaming of a 'place in the sun') seems
to be timeshare and
holiday club fraud, the
popularity of which never ceases to amaze.
Now, this is all very entertaining - laughing at
the gullible is really enjoyable, and makes us
feel superior. Well, consider the respectable
scams which UK investors have fallen for in
recent years; pensions
mis-selling, endowment
mortgages, with-profits life
assurance policies, high income
bonds, split capital investment
trusts, and pensions,
again and again. These have been in some cases,
little better than some of the above - hence the
need for caution when it comes to money; you
cannot afford to trust anyone, not even the
'professionals'.
Furthermore, consider the legion of investment
analysts who constantly touted overblown stocks
during the Tech Boom, citing the
'new paradigm' of the New Economy, and that
somehow we had gone 'beyond boom and bust' - are
these respectable professionals any better than
scam artists?
Generally speaking, it is important to remember
that new scams are being invented every day; the
con-men are always one step ahead and so one must
guard against complacency; just when you think
you have heard of everything, that is the time
someone will take you for a tidy sum! The
defences we must use are our
skepticism -
- Never be rushed - if they want money now,
then walk away.
- Never get involved in something you do not
understand - keep asking simple questions; do not
be embarrassed by your lack of understanding.
- Get a second opinion; have a cooling off
period of a day or two.
- Ask to see the numbers.
- Insist on hard figures - how much can I make,
what can I lose; what are the chances of me
losing.
- Get it in writing; have documents
independently assessed by a lawyer or accountant.
- Do not feel obligated to them just because
they gave you tea and biscuits!
- Never, ever, sign anything at the time; never
ever hand over money or credit card details
and also our intuition; if you
have done all the checks you can do, but you
still feel there is something not right
- just walk away. These rules apply to any
situation where you are handing money over to a
stranger.
It has been said that an honest man can't be
cheated; to which we would strongly disagree! But
there is an element of truth in the saying; the
people who are taken for the greatest sums by the
fraudsters have often been hooked by their own
greed.
Security
General term for a stock, share, bond; anything
which can be traded.
Short
'Going short' means to sell.
Short Interest
The number of a company's shares that have been
sold short and not yet repurchased.
Short Selling
Selling a security you don't own (borrowed from
your broker) with the intention of buying it at a
lower price to replace the borrowed shares. Short
sellers are betting the price will go down. The
broker will borrow those shares from another
account and lend you the shares to sell short;
this is all done with mirrors; no stock
certificates are issued, no paper changes hands,
no lender is identified by name.
It should be noted that this kind of trading is
not always available to the smaller investor, but
equivalent trades are available via derivatives.
Speculators
People who trade securities for the express
purpose of making a profit on some expected
change in their value rather than for any
interest in owning the goods themselves.
Speculators sometimes get a bad press and are
often blamed for disasters.
However, it is important to realize that
speculators provide liquidity to
the markets which is essential to their proper
functioning. Next time you buy something, perhaps
you should thank the speculators for helping to
maintain lower prices than would otherwise be
possible. Speculators who short-sell stocks are
often bringing a long overdue dose of reality to
soaring share prices.
Speculative
Instability
The movement of a share price can feed-back upon
itself leading to bubbles and
crashes.
Suppose for some reason a stock rises sharply,
initially in response to some specific event -
e.g. the company are awarded a patent or a big
contract; this rise is noticed and a further
group of investors decide to buy the stock (-
simply because it went up), this sends the price
soaring even further and so even more people
decide to buy the stock; as the cycle repeats the
price can be driven to enormously high levels
without the influence of any further external
events - it simply goes up, because it went
up before, and without any apparent connection to
its underlying state. Eventually, the share price
is at a level well beyond any connections with
its fundamentals, i.e. the ability of the company
to generate profits. Someone notices this and
decides to takes his profits as the current
situation is unsustainable; the price begins to
fall back, and others follow his lead; soon we
have a selling frenzy and the share price will
dive sharply, crashing back to levels which may
be unjustified. The effect is a bit like a
rollercoaster - once it gets moving it has a
momentum of its own.
The dilemma for the trader is in knowing when to
get in and get back out again to maximise his
profit; mostly he doesn't care about
'fundamentals' - these only seem to matter in the
long term, and as long as a stock is going up,
profits can be made. Even if you believe a
correction is coming, you do not know
when, and so you are trapped by the twin
demons of getting out too early (- lost profits),
or staying in too late (- the crash hits). As the
share price oscillates, no one can ever know
whether the last movement was just a fluctuation
or the start of a new trend.
In reality, the situation is even more
complicated; suppose when the price started
to fall back a bit, a new group of investors who
were eager to buy but found the stock too
expensive, now thought the share was 'cheap' and
they piled in - now the stock shoots back up
again; the original sellers start to think they
made a mistake ... and so on, and so on. It is
all very complicated, and just to make it worse,
we can have derivatives traders and the presence
of hedge funds who may aggressively short sell in
order to create a crash situation - they will
make lots of money if they can make the price
fall.
All the different players, each with their
differing objectives, acting at their
representative timescales come together to
produce the overall behaviour of the market; it
is, essentially, this difference of opinion which
stabilises the markets, and produces liquidity -
everyone who wants to buy needs to find someone
to sell, i.e. the buyer and the seller need to be
in disagreement about the future worth of
the stock. It is when everyone agrees that
disaster will strike!
From a wider perspective, this suggest that the
market system is intrinsically unstable -
which is very worrying given the wider social
consequences of market crashes. Over an extended
time period, information flows to the market, and
knowledge is gained by the traders; this leads in
the normal way to the formation of the fair
market price, but there is a further danger -
with the gain of knowledge, there is the tendency
for a consensus to form about future values,
which leads to instability.
Spread
The gap between the bid and the ask prices of a
security. Low is good.
Split
Capital Investment Trusts
The latest financial scandal to hit the
UK.
Sold as low risk investments and heavily
advertised by a bizarre campaign which suggested
stock market investing was better than sex, many
investors who bought these vehicles lost all of
their money. The crux of the problem seemed to be
a magic circle of trusts which invested in each
others stocks - this creates a kind of 'self
supporting circle' which can artificially inflate
the values of the participating trusts; of course
a structure like this is simply a house of
cards, fragile, and when one collapses, so do
they all. It is reminiscent of the Lloyds
insurance problems some years ago - insurance
groups of 'Names' would lay off insurance risks
against each other, reinsuring over and over
again - making good profits for a while, but when
large disasters struck found themselves liable
for massive payouts.
Stock Splits
Sometimes the numerical value of a share price
gets very high, say £50; the size of this
figure is slightly inconvenient for traders, so
the company decides to issue, say 5 new shares
for every old one, thus valuing the new shares at
£10 each, which is a more reasonable figure
to trade with. Traders like to trade in round
figures - multiples of 1000 and so on.
One side effect of this action is the need to
adjust the historical data - otherwise it will
look like some collapse has occurred on the share
price graph, while nothing has really happened.
Stop-Limit Order
A variation on the stop order; a stop-limit order
will be executed only at the limit price, not
higher or lower than the limit price. In
contrast, a stop order will be executed at the
stop price, or, should the stock gap up or down,
at the higher- or lower-than-stop price.
Stop Order
An order placed at a price that is higher (a buy
stop) or lower (a sell stop) than the current
market price. Buy stops are used by short
sellers; sell stops are employed by investors who
trade long. Both are used to protect profits and
limit losses.
Settlement
This is the time when the money relating to a
share transaction actually changes hands.
Stamp Duty
A tax, currently 0.5%, which you have to pay on
all share purchases.
A very good reason why you should not buy
shares.
An engineering discipline concerned with
extracting signals ('true values') from noisy or
corrupt data.
Shareholding
and Democracy
To paraphrase Winston Churchill, democracy is a
pretty flawed political system, but it is by far
the best one anyone has thought of - its problems
are best solved by having more of it, not less.
The power of corporations, their incredible
ability to get just what they want from the
politicians, as and when they want it, is
therefore worrying. Corporations are accountable
to no one; even in law the corporation exists as
a separate 'person' from those who run it. In
theory, however, the shareholders - i.e. the
actual owners - control the company; they can
vote on major issues after all; but please don't
think that your 1000 shares in ABC Corp means the
CEO is hanging on your every word. The
proto-democratic constitution of the corporation
is blown apart by the power of the
institutional investor, i.e. pension funds
and life insurance companies, who will use their
massive block votes to, almost always, support
the status quo. Institutional investors are very
conservative organisations; change, radical
ideas, the setting of precedents, are anathema to
them; thus, your 1000 votes against the bloated
options and bonuses package for the new CEO will
be trumped rather soundly by the 28.7 million
votes of XYZ Life Fund, and the 13.4 million of
DEF Insurance Ltd. Too bad.
When the management of a company are so egregious
in their behaviour that even the institutional
investors are appalled, it is still unusual to
find them supporting shareholder activism; they
will simply sell the shares and walk away. The
overall result of such behaviour is that
shareholder activism, which could potentially
bring a taste of democracy to these unaccountable
giants, is largely toothless.
From the viewpoint of wider activism, though, the
purchase of even a single share can be of much
use - as a shareholder, you are entitled to
attend the annual general meeting, receive a copy
of the company report, and are even allowed to
inspect headquarters on certain dates each year.
Try it sometime.
Shareholder Equity
Represents the amount of money the investors have
invested in the company. (Something of an
accounting convention.)
Sod's Law,
Financial version
When everyone 'knows' something is true - when it
is as obvious as it can be - this is the point at
which it will be proved wrong, because in this
case everyone will move in the same direction at
once, and disaster shall occur. For this reason,
we suggest that if you are doing rather well,
keep your analyses to yourselves, at least until
after the position has been closed.
Spread-Betting,
and the Nicknames
Spreadbets are simple bets on market movements;
you buy a certain amount per point, in doing so
exposing yourself to the full fluctuations of the
market. Large profits and losses can be made, and
it is quite exciting. Not particularly well known
to the stock trading investor, spreadbets are
often the tool of choice of the market
professional, being free of tax. Spread betting
is also not as regulated as share trading.
A recent case of spread betting made the front
pages of the financial press - the participants
were two colourful characters who went by the
nicknames the Plumber and the Spaniard. The
central event was a very large spreadbet made by
one on the share movements of his own company.
When details emerged of this bet, a great many
eyebrows were raised - was this insider dealing,
was it legitimate or not? In any case the spread
betting firm accepted the bet, a fact which
surprised even the participant. Initially, the
share price rose, and the deal was in profit.
The outcome and the story can be gotten elsewhere
- what is interesting here is the grey area it
identified; was this market manipulation, insider
trading, an honest trade, or something fiendishly
clever. The last possibility needs some
explanation; the punter must have known that if
it accepted his bet the firm would have to lay
off its own exposure to the market; the only way
this could be done would be via another party,
the net result of which would probably be a large
purchase of shares (or their equivalent), which
would push up the share price. So, by
understanding the dynamics of the market, it is
possible to create favourable outcomes; the big
question is whether this was done with specific
intent, which would be manipulation, or simply
honest confidence that his company was
undervalued?
Stakeholder
A meaningless political phrase; someone who has a
'stake' in something, which makes it sound like
ownership, which it isn't. Started to be bandied
about as a buzzword relating to the so-called
Third Way (fig-leaf for caring) Capitalism. Now
used as a name for a type of cheap pension for
the low paid.
The only way you can have a stake in a
company is to buy
shares in it. Companies only care about
their shareholders, and only the large ones, even
then - no one else gets a look in.
Stochastic
Another term for random.
Terms you might hear in connection with this are
stochastic process (i.e. a random walk)
and stochastic calculus (- used in
derivatives pricing); note that this is
unconnected with the so-called stochastic
indicator of technical analysis; this is simply
an oscillator which is used to generate
over-bought and over-sold signals.
Straddle
A position consisting of a long (short) call and
a long (short) put, where both options have the
same strike price and expiration date.
Strangle
A position consisting of a long (short) call and
a long (short) put where both options have the
same underlying, the same expiration date, but
different strike prices. Most strangles involve
OTM options.
Subsidy
Government money, i.e. taxpaying citizens money
(- your money, my money), given to businesses by
the government to help them out. This practice is
widespread throughout the world, even in the
so-called free market western economies. World
trade organisations are attempting to make these
practices illegal, to encourage genuine free
trade, but there are many ways for a subsidy to
be paid - tax breaks for example, or by imposing
import tariffs on foreign competitors.
The UK farming industry is one
of the most highly subsidised in the world,
mainly through the pan-European CAP (Common
Agricultural Policy) - this idiocy results in
such craziness as farmers being paid large sums
not to grow crops, warehouses
full of perfectly good produce
destroyed so that market prices
are maintained, and huge
compensation payments made for
such self-inflicted crises as the Foot and Mouth
epidemic (- a non-fatal disease, which can be
inoculated-against for less than the price of cup
of tea.)
The US steel industry is
currently being similarly 'helped out' by US
President Bush.
Like speeding on the motorway; it is wrong,
but everyone does it.
Synthetic Long
Call
A long put and a long stock or future.
Synthetic Long
Put
A long call and a short stock or future.
Synthetic Long
Stock
A short put and a long call.
Synthetic Short
Call
A short put and a short stock or future.
Synthetic Short
Put
A short call and a long stock or future.
Synthetic
Short Stock
A short call and a long put.
Synthetic
Straddle
Futures and options combined to create a delta
neutral trade.
Synthetic
Underlying
A long (short) call together with a short (long)
put. Both options have the same underlying, the
same strike price and the same expiration date.
Options strategies listed out like this may seem
perplexing; do not worry about it. You do not
need to know what these are and when and why they
might be used - the TradeCreator facility in
StockWave allows the user to create and
experiment with arbitrarily complicated trading
combinations involving stock trades, CFDs,
options and spread bets, and to see visually what
kind of payoff will result. Play around; see what
works; trade.
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