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Glossary A
Glossary A
The financial world is full of jargon -
i.e. strange words no-one understands. Here we
try to explain some of the many technical terms.
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Accountancy
Standards
Accountancy rules are of great importance to
the investor; if they are too weak then company
reports become little more than imaginative
fantasies - and without a set of half-way
believable numbers the fundamentalist approach to
investing becomes a (-n even more?) pointless
exercise ...
In the US, these standards consist of an
enormously complicated set of rules (- the
GAAP) written into a massive tome;
designed to protect the integrity of the company
report, alas, this has not prevented accountancy
malpractice being at the centre of several large
scandals. In the UK, there is less that is
explicitly set-out in terms of strict rules, with
a greater emphasis on 'principles' and
'guidelines'. Curiously, this relative loosening
in comparison with the US, is meant to result in
more believable reports - according to the
UK accountancy lobby. Currently, there are moves
being made to create an international standard
for accountancy; in practice this will mean a lot
of arm-twisting to facilitate the adoption of the
- rather flawed looking - US system.
Advice
It is quite natural to feel confused when
confronted by the financial world and so most of
us will seek advice.
There are basically two kinds of advice - that
which you pay for, and that which you don't. Free
advice is likely to be worth exactly what you
paid for it; paid-for advice is likely to be
expensive and perhaps little better than the free
advice. Whoever you consult needs to be paid for
his time in some way - you should remember there
is no such thing as an Independent
Financial Adviser and in the end,
nothing is for free. This advice was not free
either, but we were paid when you bought a
license for our software; moreover, there was
nothing hidden about the costs involved.
Generally speaking, the financial services
industry treats the public like children; 'we
know best, do as we tell you', and if anything
goes wrong it becomes a case of - 'best not tell
the children' (- for their own good, of course).
Our advice is thus to educate yourself,
becoming in the process a sophisticated
active-trader/investor - do not simply hand over
your cash to someone else to invest on your
behalf as the chances are they do not know any
more about the markets than you do; all you are
doing is paying their - often very substantial -
wages for little or no added-value.
The first step in this education is to become
financially-literate - you have to know
what things mean; when you can read, e.g. the
Financial Times all the way
through and get the gist of most of it, you are
well on the way. Next you must learn about the
mechanics of trading. Finally, you must
understand your own goals, in particular your
attitude to risk, then you will be capable of
making your own decisions - and here you at least
start with out with a significant advantage - you
are not paying fees to anyone.
Become empowered; do your own research; make
your own decisions; trust yourself.
A computational science which is concerned with
the extent to which machines, i.e. computers, can
be made to accomplish tasks most commonly
associated with human beings; those which are
associated with intelligence, i.e.
learning, problem
solving, pattern
recognition, understanding
language and vision. Most
conventional computer science is concerned with
what might be termed efficient computation;
number crunching, algorithmic analysis, program
and language design, i.e. much lower level stuff.
AI sometimes gets a bad press because the reality
of what is actually possible falls far short of
the fictions depicted on film and television;
forget about talking robots and computers with
emotions - instead look upon AI as a collection
of useful techniques, each of great power within
its domain of applicability.
Also referred to as 'Machine Learning'.
AIM
The Alternative Investment Market is the junior
market run by the London Stock Exchange
consisting of some 600 smaller companies.
Why should anyone bother with these 'small
fry'?
Well, when the blue-chip stocks are in the
doldrums, you may find much better value in the
smaller companies; in general we would recommend
that the confident investor just goes wherever he
can find the most value - trade whatever,
wherever, as long as it is liquid and you
understand the risks involved; if the Mongolian
Dead Donkey Futures market looks hot, then dive
in - there should be no geographical barriers
anymore.
Alpha
The alpha (- and beta) are measures of the
riskiness of a stock - alpha being the residual
risk and the beta being the sensitivity of the
share price to market movements. These are
calculated by plotting the stock movements
against market movements and doing a linear fit;
the alpha is the intercept and the beta is the
slope. A high beta is a stock which is very
sensitive to market variations, and vice versa.
These quantities, alpha, beta (- and gamma,
delta) - 'the Greeks' are most often
discussed when evaluating the riskiness of a
portfolio - you may hear of an investment
strategy being 'delta-neutral'. The ScatterChart
facility in StockWave gives an indication of
these measures.
It is important when using these measures to bear
in mind that they can change over the time period
one uses to calculate them and can be quite
different in different periods; for example if
one chose a time period during which the market
exhibited two kinds of behaviour, one would find
that the plotted points formed two separate
clouds. This means that one can have a situation
where a stocks correlation with the market can
change - which has obvious repercussions when
trying to construct a portfolio. A good example
would be the correlation of traditional stocks
with the market index during the telecoms boom of
the late 90s; during the period of the tech
bubble, their relationship would be entirely
opposite to that outside it.
Altruism
Acting for the good of others.
The Financial Services Industry is full of (-
self-professed) altruists.
Amortization
An accountancy term - paying off a debt in
regular amounts.
APR - Annual Percentage Rate
A simple summary measure which explains how much
a consumer is being charged for credit. Lower
is better - and please remember that a
difference of 'only a few percent' can mount up
in the long term, so shop around! This advice is
especially relevant to credit cards; if you
cannot pay off the total amount every month, i.e.
you are maintaining a balance, you should find
the lowest APR card you can. Luckily, the credit
card industry is incredibly competitive, and so
good deals are out there; do yourself a favour
and become a 'rate tart'.
Analyst
A researcher-of-sorts who works for a merchant
bank. His professed intent is to provide
impartial advice about a stock;
however, there is often a conflict of
interest here and much evidence to
suggest that analysts often find themselves
pressurized into giving positive reports. Some
analysts have even been sacked for insisting on
giving negative recommendations, although a more
common practice would be to have two sets of
recommendations; the real and the official
versions.
Best not to bother with analysts, their views are
likely to be irrelevant, coloured, and their
recommendations as likely to be wrong as to be
right - but what about the brokers themselves?
Can a stockbroker be relied on to provide
well-analyzed, well thought-out information and
recommendations?? A stock broker, ultimately, is
in business to sell you stock - would you trust a
used-car dealer to carefully analyze the
available cars and sell you the best car for the
best price? No; then why would you trust a broker
to do the same?
Do your own analysis.
Annual Report
A beautifully-constructed glossy document issued
by a company to present their results and impress
shareholders and investors.
The worth or otherwise of the company report is
discussed at greater length elsewhere; the usual
advice about how to read one quickly - extracting
the useful information while avoiding the hype -
is to start with the notes and read it back to
front - look for lawsuits, any odd accountancy
changes, the state of the pension plan and always
focus on detail. Don't waste your time with the
management spin-doctoring.
If you are looking for long-term growth based on
sound fundamentals, then you need to do a lot of
deep digging
on your own behalf, going well beyond the company
report, which is really only self-promotion.
Anti-Competitive
Practices
Companies who find themselves in tough, highly
competitive markets against opponents who they
can neither defeat nor be defeated by, often
enter into informal agreements with their
competitors to form a cartel,
i.e. a price-fixing agreement. This is illegal (-
for almost all industries, there being some
curious exceptions), and very much against the
spirit of the Free Market.
Arbitrage
The simultaneous buying and selling of the same
thing in two different markets; this is done to
exploit minor price discrepancies between these
markets, in the process creating a
risk-free profit. This is not a
technique available to the private investor as it
relies on transaction charges being zero or
minimal; arbitrage opportunities tend to be
rather fleeting anyway - they do not persist for
very long; this is one of the reasons why
real-time data is much more expensive than
delayed data.
Auto-Regressive
A sequence of numbers whose values are defined by
some relationship with the previous values. The
interest of such functions from a stock market
perspective is that one might expect such
relationships to exist since traders trade by
watching the chart of the share price and, at
least partly, base their decisions on how they
think it will move in response to past values.
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